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by Gavin O'Donovan, Senior Economist, AECeconomics |
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by Kristy Bowering, Graphic Artist, AECdesign, marketing
& advertising |
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by Bruce Abel, Creative Director, AECdesign, marketing &
advertising |
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by Anthony Cavanough, Research Economist, AECeconomics |
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by Simon Smith, Chief Executive Officer, AECgroup |
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by Jane Neame, Accounts Executive, AECdesign, marketing &
advertising |
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by Bill Andrew, Director, AECorganisational consulting |
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Jane Neame, Accounts Executive, AECdesign, marketing & advertising
& Gavin O'Donovan, Senior Economist, AECeconomics |
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by Simon Smith, Chief Executive Officer, AECgroup |
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By Brendan Duffy, Conference Administrator, AECconferencing |
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An economic impact assessment (EIA) is an analysis of the effects
of an economic stimulus on the economy. Typically, an EIA is undertaken
for major projects such as a mine, industrial plant or event so
that the economic benefits can be understood and promoted. Often
the economic benefits of a project are used to lobby government
for support as the impacts on taxation can be readily included as
part of the assessment process.
EIA's are also used to calculate negative economic impacts such
as the closure of a mine and the loss of associated economic activity.
EIAs are calculated using an input-output (IO) model. At the core
of an IO model is an IO table. An IO table is a matrix containing
all the transactions between sectors of the economy for a financial
year including inter-industry transactions, primary inputs to production
and final demand for industry output. Since the IO table details
the input structure of a particular industry, the effects on the
economy from increasing the output of that industry can be readily
estimated by solving a set of linear equations.
IO tables are time consuming, data intensive and therefore expensive
to construct. Government statistics offices produce them as part
of the national economic accounting structure. The most recent Australian
IO Table is for 1996-97 produced by the Australian Bureau of Statistics.
The Queensland Office of Economic and Statistical Research has also
just released a Queensland IO Table for 1996-97 and has available
a full set of integrated regional IO tables for the statistical
divisions of Queensland.
The results of an EIA are generally presented as both direct effects,
that is effects from the direct expenditure of the project or event
and indirect effects, which are additional effects from further
rounds of spending in the supply chain. A third or consumption effect,
resulting from rounds of consumer spending generated by the additional
income in the region can also be calculated. All effects are presented
as:
- Output - the actual dollar amount spent on the project in the
region under study. Spending on imports to the region are excluded
since they generate no economic activity;
- Income - the amount of wages and salaries paid to labour;
- Employment - the full time equivalent per annum employment generated
by the project;
- Value Added - the value added to materials and labour expended
on the project; and
- Industry effects - each of the above four measures can be specified
for individual industries.
With major projects, two sets of impacts are usually calculated:
those from construction, which will occur over a short timeframe;
and those from operation, which will occur over a longer timeframe.
AECeconomics has undertaken a vast range of EIAs including: mining
projects, dam raising, environmental flows, port expansion, road
construction, power stations, industrial plant, pipeline construction,
office relocation, sporting events, cruise ship visits and tourism.
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